THE ELAM ENDING: EXAMINING THE NECESSITY AND SOUNDNESS OF ELIMINATING THE GAME CLOCK FROM THE FINAL PORTION OF EVERY BASKETBALL GAME (Competitive Advantage Presentation Delivered at 2018 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference)

February 24, 2018
Nick Elam, Ph.D. 

THE FOLLOWING POWERPOINT SLIDES WERE NOT SHOWN ON VIDEO CLIP:

OUTLINE (SLIDE 2)

  • Game clock’s warping effect on late-game quality and style of play
  • Sport-by-sport scoring rates: Why basketball is the only major sport that can have the best of both (timed and untimed) worlds
  • Details, considerations, and possibilities associated with the hybrid duration format (Elam Ending)
  • Q&A

GAME CLOCK’S WARPING EFFECT ON LATE-GAME PLAY IN BASKETBALL (SLIDES 3-5)

  • Deliberate fouling by trailing defense
  • Stalling by leading offense
  • Rushed/sloppy possessions by trailing (or tied) offense
  • Dearth of late comebacks (due to above factors)
  • Trailing teams conceding games
  • Clock controversies, malfunctions, and reviews
  • Anticlimactic overtimes
  • Many games (even many highly-anticipated and/or competitive games) devoid of a single signature moment or lasting image
  • Unceremonious endings and muted celebrations
  • Drawn-out final minutes
  • Uncontested lay-ups allowed by leading defenses
  • Intentionally missed free throws by either team
  • Trailing team punished for having fouls to give
  • Foulouts (from deliberate fouling and/or overtime)
  • Silly strategies (rolled inbounds passes, vacating the lane during teammate’s free throw attempts, throwing the ball directly into the air to exhaust time, etc.)